Using a flexible semiparametric varying coefficient model specification, this paper examines the role of fiscal policy on the US asset markets (stocks, corporate and treasury bonds). We consider two possible roles of fiscal deficits (or surpluses): as a separate direct information variable and...

This paper reexamines the issue of whether commodity prices provide useful information for formulating monetary policy through the application of recent development in time series methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We found that commodity prices signals the future direction of...

The Law of One Price (LOP) is important to models of international trade and exchange rate determination. This study investigates a variant of the LOP applied to developed and developing countries. The competing hypothesis are (1) that one price prevails in both developed and developing...

This paper studies volatility in individual stocks of the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE), using a recently developed nonlinear approach, a stochastic threshold model. Trading information is embedded into the determination process for volatility in the stochastic threshold model with a generalized...

Threshold models have been found useful in modeling nonlinearities in many financial time series. In this framework, the financial variable of interest evolves according to different dynamics, which is solely determined by the threshold regimes that the observed indicator variable falls into....

This study examines mean and volatility linkages between the UK domestic and Europound interest rates during the 1983-2002 period. Recursive cointegration analysis identifies a structural break in the long-run relationship between the domestic and Europound rates around the September 1992...

This study examines long-run relationships and short-run dynamic causal linkages among the US, Japanese, and ten Asian emerging stock markets, with the particular attention to the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. Extending related empirical studies, comparative analyses of pre-crisis, crisis,...

This paper examines linkages among six major European government bond markets (Germany, France, Italy, UK, Belgium and the Netherlands) during 1988-2003. There is weak evidence that a stable long-run relationship exists among the six markets during the sample period. Granger causal linkages are...

This study examines causal linkages between US and Eurodollar interest rates during 1983-2002. Recursive cointegration analysis shows that a stable cointegration relationship between the two interest rates emerges only since the early 1990s, when the Fed used federal funds rate targeting and...

This paper examines the price discovery function for three U.S. wheat futures markets: the Chicago Board of Trade, Kansas City Board of Trade, and Minneapolis Grain Exchange. The maintained hypothesis is that futures markets search more for information than cash markets to find an equilibrium...