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relative to movements in six major developed country currency pairs. As indicator variables changes in various relative asset … prices, short-term portfolio flows and currency options data are used. We find that changes in equity index differentials …, short-term speculative flows and risk reversals on currency options prices exhibit consistent contemporaneous indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319183
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535558
This paper applies a recent method proposed by Maggiori (The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium, 2013) to estimate the Swiss franc safety premium. The results show that the three-step instrumental variable approach as used by Maggiori does not work for the Swiss franc exchange rates. The price of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962943
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries … characteristics (consumption, interest rates) and also does well on the cross section of bilateral currency movements. Eventually, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
We analyze the worst currency carry loss episodes in recent decades, including causes, attribution by currency, timing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568722
The aim of this paper is to discuss excess comovements for the Euro/US dollar and British pound/US dollar exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302725
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011668447
carry trading or other patterns of currency trading over the recent period of the ultra-loose US monetary policy. Our …. That is, the USD, as the lower yielding currency, is associated with short positions. The payoff distributions of these … in line with uncovered interest parity trading; that is, the lower (higher) yielding currency is associated with long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994457
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003389611
currencies can be treated as the same asset if their exchange rates vis-à-vis the same base currency are cointegrated with a … yield that periods of strong comovements of the US dollar and Pound sterling based upon the Euro prevail during the 1990s … and periods of comovements of Euro and Pound sterling denominated in US dollar prevail since the introduction of the Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300152