The 2007 subprime crisis has induced a persistent disconnection between the LIBOR derivative markets of different tenors and the OIS swap market. Commonly proposed explanations for the corresponding spreads are a combination of credit risk and liquidity risk. However in these explanations the...

In this paper, we prove that the conditional dependence structure of default times in the Markov model of "A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk. Part I: Markov Copula Perspective" belongs to the class of Marshall-Olkin copulas. This allows us to derive a factor representation in...

We devise simulation/regression numerical schemes for pricing the CVA on CDO tranches, where CVA stands for Credit Valuation Adjustment, or price correction accounting for the defaultability of a counterparty in an OTC derivatives transaction. This is done in the setup of a continuous-time...

In "Dynamic Hedging of Portfolio Credit Risk in a Markov Copula Model", the authors introduced a Markov copula model of portfolio credit risk where pricing and hedging can be done in a sound theoretical and practical way. Further theoretical backgrounds and practical details are developed in "A...

We consider a bottom-up Markovian copula model of {portfolio} credit risk where instantaneous contagion is possible in the form of simultaneous defaults. Due to the Markovian copula nature of the model, calibration of marginals and dependence parameters can be performed separately using a...

We consider the problem of valuation of interest rate derivatives in the post-crisis setup. We develop a multiple-curve model, set in the HJM framework and driven by a L evy process. We proceed with joint calibration to caps and swaptions of different tenors, the calibration to caps guaranteeing...

This article outlines a framework for the analysis of extreme events based on forward-looking reverse stress testing. We carry out a portfolio simulation and identify stress scenarios which are critical for bank solvency as the ones contributing the most to cost of capital, as expressed by KVA...

Performance assessment of derivative pricing models revolves around a comparative model-risk analysis. From among the plethora of econometrically unrealistic models, the ones that survive Darwinian selection tend to generate systematic short term profits while exposing the bank to long term...

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach, which is well suited for OTC derivative portfolio...

The recent publication of the IFRS 9 norms related to collective provisions for non defaulted instruments has settled a new vision to banking book portfolios. In this paper we show that the IFRS 9 provision measured through the Expected Credit Loss (ECL), inspired from a market vision on loan...