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I discuss models which allow the local level model, which rationalised exponentially weighted moving averages, to have a time-varying signal/noise ratio.  I call this a martingale component model.  This makes the rate of discounting of data local.  I show how to handle such models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004138
An exact maximum likelihood method is developed for the estimation of parameters in a non-Gaussian nonlinear log-density function that depends on a latent Gaussian dynamic process with long-memory properties. Our method relies on the method of importance sampling and on a linear Gaussian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261933
In this paper, we describe and compare two simulated Maximum Likelihood estimation methods for a basic stochastic volatility model. For both methods, the likelihood function is estimated using importance sampling techniques. Based on a Monte Carlo study, we assess which method is more effective....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246283
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In order to assess the effect of jumps on realised variance calculations, we study some of the econometric properties of time-changed Levy processes. We show that in general we can derive the second order properties of realised variances and use these to estimate the parameters of such models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605177
The availability of intra-day data on the prices of speculative assets means that we can use quadratic variation like measures of activity in financial markets, called realised volatility, to study the stochastic properties of returns. Here we provide a statistical basis for realised volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605269
We use high frequency financial data to proxy, via the realised variance, each days financial variability. Based on a semiparametric stochastic volatility process, a limit theory shows you can represent the proxy as a true underlying variability plus some measurement noise with known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605279
The asymmetric nature of the volatility response to return shocks could simply reflect the existence of time-varying risk premiums. This study proposes a stochastic volatility process allowing for time-varying correlation with underlying returns, in which the market price of volatility risk is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009207400
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