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We argue that Islamic principles, in particular the avoidance of ribā and gharar should be applied with respect to real economic value rather than to monetary value in terms of conventional currency. In order to reconcile monetary value with economic value, we propose a reference currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102582
The Ohlson (1995) equity valuation and returns models are consistent with mathematical formulation. Since value relevance models that relate Ohlson (1995) focus on information dynamics of accounting and other information for explaining equity value, an inconsistency between Ohlson's (1995)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159051
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
The dynamics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets is an important element of competitive power markets that were only established in the last decade. In electricity markets, the market microstructure does not allow for continuous trading, since operators require advance notice in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008629517
The dynamics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets is an important element of competitive power markets that were only established in the last decade. In electricity markets, the market micro-structure does not allow for continuous trading, since operators require advance notice in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966292
We explore the cost of implicit leverage associated with an S&P 500 Index futures contract and derive an implied financing rate (the Futures-Implied Rate or FIR), based on a simple model of stock and futures, without any explicit arbitrage or other relationship to market interest rates. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351882
We develop a methodology for improving the estimate of the risk premia calculated jointly with the asset sensitivities, extending the McElroy-Burmeister approach for estimating the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Ross 1976) as a restricted nonlinear multivariate regression model using observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113740
This paper proposes and assesses consistent multi-factor dynamic affine mortality models for longevity risk applications. The dynamics of the model produce closed-form expressions for survival curves. The framework includes an arbitrage-free model specification. There are multiple risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551684
This study explores the topic of the predictability of direct real estate prices in the short-run and the risks facing investors via a case study. Two models are estimated using heteroscedastic and autocorrelation robust ML method. Possible structural shifts of the models are examined. The one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744846
This paper proposes and calibrates a consistent multi-factor affine term structure mortality model for longevity risk applications. We show that this model is appropriate for fitting historical mortality rates. Without traded mortality instruments the choice of risk-neutral measure is not unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681882