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enthaltenen Aktienwerte. Ein kürzlich entwickelter Test zeigt einen Bruch im Ausmaß der Schwankungen der Aktienrenditen im Jahr … 1997 an. Seitdem nahm nicht nur die Volatilität der täglichen Aktienrenditen deutlich zu, sondern es stieg auch deren …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432267
Structural breaks in GARCH processes do matter for applications and model-based inference. To show this, I first propose a new approach to estimate change-point GARCH models with maximum likelihood, for which no method exists so far. Practical implementation of the proposed algorithm is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846796
This paper investigates whether there is evidence of structural change in the Brazilian term structure of interest rates. Multivariate cointegration techniques are used to verify this evidence. Two econometrics models are estimated. The first one is a Vector Autoregressive Model with Error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176295
This paper investigates whether there is evidence of structural change in the Brazilian term structure of interest rates. Multivariate cointegration techniques are used to verify this evidence. An econometrics model is estimated and is a Vector Autoregressive Model with Error Correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100764
Basierend auf einem strukturellen Modell analysieren die Autoren das Bedeutung informierten Handels (adverse Selektionseffekte) und dessen Auswirkung auf die Liquiditätsqualität in Xetra, dem elektronischen Handelssystem der Deutschen Börse . Die ökonometrische Analyse basiert auf einem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005854225
This paper seeks to disentangle the sources of correlations between high-, mid- and lowcap stock indexes from the German prime standard. In principle, such comovement can arise from direct spillover between the variables or due to common factors. By standard means, these different components are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860834
We extend the well established link between structural change and estimated persistence from GARCH to stochastic volatility (SV) models. Whenever structural changes in some model parameters increase the empirical autocorrelations of the squares of the underlying time series, the persistence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580046
This paper conducts an investigation of volatility transmission between stock markets in Hong Kong, Europe and the United States covering the time period from 2000 up to 2011. Using intradaily data we compute realized volatility time series for the three markets and employ a Heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033228
In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, and EUR/AUD. The results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900291
Correlation models, such as Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) GARCH model or Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) GARCH model, play a crucial role in forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) or Expected Shortfall (ES). The additional inclusion of constant correlation tests into correlation models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171617