This paper proposes a robust forecasting method for non-stationary time series. The time series is modelled using non-parametric heteroscedastic regression, and fitted by a localized MM-estimator, combining high robustness and large efficiency. The proposed method is shown to produce reliable...

We examine the hypothesis of an increase of humus disintegration by analyzing chemical substances measured in the seepage water of a German forest. Problems arise because of a large percentage of missing observations. We use a regression model with spatial and temporal effects constructed in an...