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We investigate the relation between foreign exchange (FX) order flow and the forward bias. We outline a decomposition of the forward bias according to which a negative correlation between interest rate differentials and order flow creates a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias....
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-variate GARCH-in-mean model and volatility spillovers. The empirical results show the significant effects (positive and negative …, respectively) of the stock market returns, interest rate, and exchange rate volatility of the financial sector during the crisis …. Besides, we find, in most cases, significant (positive and negative, respectively) volatility spillovers from market return …
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