This paper develops asymptotically pivotal structural change tests in simultaneous equations with weakly identified parameters. In former literature, Caner (2007) proposes boundedly pivotal structural change tests when there are weakly identified parameters. The tests developed in this article...

Instrumental variable methods are widely used to make inferences about the impact of some variable on economic outcomes; for example, whether or not institutions influence long term growth. However, the test-statistics used for making these inferences are based on the generally unrealistic...

Although there is a consensus about time variation in market betas, it is not clear how this variation should be captured. Several researchers continue to analyze different versions of the conditional CAPM. However, Ghysels (1998) shows that these conditional CAPM models fail to capture the...

The US government debt is now in uncharted waters. From the founding of the nation until 1968, government debt moved up and down without a trend, but over the past 50 years, debt relative to the size of the economy has increased continuously. The United States does not appear to have a coherent...

This paper analyzes how the interaction of public and private debt influences economic growth. Both debt variables are treated as endogenous and subject to regime switch, with the interaction term being the threshold variable. We test whether this interaction variable causes a nonlinear...

Public debt has surged during the current global economic crisis and is expected to increase further. This development has raised concerns whether public debt is starting to hit levels where it might negatively affect economic growth. Does such a tipping point in public debt exist? How severe...

This paper develops the adaptive elastic net GMM estimator in large dimensional models with potentially (locally) invalid moment conditions, where both the number of structural parameters and the number of moment conditions may increase with the sample size. The basic idea is to conduct the...

This paper analyzes the drivers and consequences of sudden stops of capital flows. It focuses on the impact of external vulnerability on the depth and length of sudden stop crises. The authors analyze 43 developing and developed countries between 1993 and 2006. They find evidence that external...