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This paper sheds new light on the mutual relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns corresponding to the bubble component of stock prices. We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead-lag relation between these variables. The wavelet phase angle...
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We present a hybrid model for diagnosis and critical time forecasting of real estate bubbles. The model combines two … that the model is able to forecast the end of the bubbles and to identify variables highly relevant during the bubble …
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