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The real interest parity (RIP) condition combines two cornerstones in international finance, uncovered interest parity (UIP) and ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP). The extent of deviation from RIP is therefore an indicator of the lack of product and financial market integration. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158584
Forecasting exchange rates remains a tricky issue for economists. In spite of a theoretical consistent framework, macroeconomic models fail to beat random walk models and market expectations doesn't have any predictive power. This article addresses some problems of exchange rate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062157
Using data for the 1978-2008 period, this study presents evidence for cointegration between securitized (NAREIT) and … direct (NCREIF) total return indices. Cointegration between the indices indicates that REITs and direct real estate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479292
A common explanation for the inability of the monetary model to beat the random walk in forecasting future exchange rates is that conventional time series tests may have low power, and that panel data should generate more powerful tests. This paper provides an extensive evaluation of this power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789565
are formed by integrated process of order 1. We find that without a cointegration relation (spurious case) the …. Whereas, for the case when at least one cointegration relation exists, we have a T-consistent estimator for the intervention …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579472
exchange rate and evaluates the degree of misalignment of a group of currencies since 1980. Within a panel cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005562454
exchange rate and evaluates the degree of misalignment of a group of currencies since 1980. Within a panel cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406522
. However, using panel cointegration tests, we find strong statistical evidence for the HBS hypothesis within countries and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470574
developed panel cointegration techniques to a structural long-run real exchange rate equation. Using annual data for 67 … countries over 1966-97, we find evidence of cointegration between the real exchange rate and its fundamentals. I also find: (a …) evidence of cointegration holds for all sub-samples of countries (classified by income or capital controls), (b) parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770610
This paper addresses cointegration in small cross-sectional panel data models. In addition to dealing with … cointegrating relationships within the cross-sectional dimension, the paper explicitly addresses the issue of cointegration between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143629