This paper has two main objectives. The first objective is to propose a new indicator of core inflation, which is obtained by cleaning month on month relative price fluctuations from overall price changes and idiosyncratic dynamics. We use a factor model with the subcomponents of CPI inflation...

This paper has two main objectives. The first objective is to propose a new indicator of core inflation, which is obtained by cleaning month on month relative price fluctuations from overall price changes and idiosyncratic dynamics. We use a factor model with the subcomponents of CPI inflation...

This paper has two major objectives. First, we develop and implement a Bayesian generalized factor model that allows for non-orthogonality of the idiosyncratic factors and the flexibility of cross-sectional and time series dimensions. Second, we evaluate the significance of the orthogonality...

We develop and test a discretization method to calibrate a Markov chain that features non-zero skewness and high kurtosis.The proposed method applies the logic of Tauchen (1986) to a first-order autoregressive process with normal mixture innovations, which, as we discuss, can be calibrated to...

This paper proposes a panel VAR model to uncover the effect of monetary policy and macroprudential tightening probability on general purpose loans, housing loans, vehicle loans, credit cards and their respective volatilities in Turkey. To conduct our analysis, first, we compare a number of...

In this study, we discuss the overall performance of different core inflation measures for Turkey. We first describe and derive the core measures based on exclusion, statistical and model-based methods. We then compare their performances during the entire sample period of January 2003 –...

There is recent interest in the generalization of classical factor models in which the idiosyncratic factors are assumed to be orthogonal and there are identification restrictions on cross-sectional and time dimensions. In this study, we describe and implement a Bayesian approach to generalized...

Macroeconomic activity has become less volatile over the past three decades in most G7 economies. Current literature focuses on the characterization of the volatility reduction and explanations for this so called "moderation" in each G7 economy separately. In opposed to individual country...

There is recent interest in the generalization of classical factor models in which the idiosyncratic factors are assumed to be orthogonal and there are identification restrictions on cross-sectional and time dimensions. In this study, we describe and implement a Bayesian approach to generalized...