Why did the League of Nations ultimately fail to achieve widespread disarmament, its most fundamental goal? This article shows that the failure of the League of Nations had two important dimensions: (1) the failure to provide adequate security guarantees for its members (like an alliance); (2)...

In diesem Artikel befassen wir uns mit zwei Aspekten des Libyenkrieges. Zunächst zeigen wir, dass die Unruhen in der arabischen Welt Auswirkungen auf den von den libyschen Rebellen geforderten Demokratisierungsprozess zu haben scheinen. Daneben können wir feststellen, dass auch Nachbarstaaten...

Afghanistan, Somalia und die Demokratische Republik Kongo sind Beispiele für Entwicklungsländer, die unter den Folgen von Krieg, Armut und instabilen demokratischen Strukturen leiden. Diese Länder sehen sich in Sicherheitsfragen einer sehr schwierigen Herausforderung gegenüber und brauchen...

In diesem Beitrag werden die bisherigen sowie die zukünftigen Gesamtkosten der Beteiligung Deutschlands am Krieg in Afghanistan geschätzt. Es handelt sich hierbei um eine Berechnung mit zahlreichen Unsicherheitsfaktoren, die auf mehreren wichtigen Annahmen basiert. Es werden verschiedene...

This paper develops a quantitative model of trade, military conflicts, and defense spending. Trade liberalization between two countries reduces probability of an armed conflict between them, causing both to cut defense spending. This in turn causes a domino effect on defense spending by other...

A multi-stage model on the course of war is presented: Individual battles are modeled as private value all-pay auctions with asymmetric combatants of two opposing teams. These auctions are placed within a multi-stage framework with a tug-of-war structure. Such framing provides a microfounded...

This paper presents a two-sector economy. In a contested sector two agents struggle to appropriate the maximum possible fraction of a contestable output. In an uncontested sector uncontested sector, they hold secure property rights over the production of some goods. Agents split their resource...

This paper develops a quantitative model of trade, military conflicts, and defense spending. Trade liberalization between two countries reduces probability of an armed conict between them, causing both to cut defense spending. This in turn causes a domino effect on defense spending by other...

Throughout human history, polities have found it necessary to devote resources towards maintaining security from other polities or to prosecute a war against them. This paper explores the evolution of the war economy, as well as the circumstances which mandated and instruments which allowed the...

Throughout history, victory in conflict has created fearsome reputations. With it, the victor ensures greater allegiance of the wider population, increasing their rents at the expense of their enemy. Such reputational concerns generate two motives for conflict. When only victory or defeat is...