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In this paper we analyze how the availability of credit in uences the relationship between government size as a proxy for scal stabilization policy and the amplitude of business cycle uctuations in a sample of advanced OECD countries. Interpreting relatively low loan-tovalue ratios as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011161055
``Disorder-induced volatility'' (DIV) describes the enhanced fluctuations of collective behaviors exhibited by bistable … random networks demonstrate the ubiquity and robustness of DIV, which is proposed as a possible cause of excess volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011161423
We study the impact of oil price shocks on U.S. stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162062
investment and aggregate volatility. Agents trade riskless assets to share the aggregate risk, so that in equilibrium a higher … volatility increases the certainty-equivalent future return for low-risk-averse individuals, which hold a long position in risky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163093
capital-scarce resource exporter.  I show that capital-scarce countries should still establish a Volatility Fund, but it …) Build a Volatility Fund quickly, then leave it alone;  iii) Invest to stabilise the real exchange rate. The remaining four … improve absorption, vi) Invest part of the Volatility Fund domestically; and vii) Support private investment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011164423
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166464
defined using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, and sovereign rating announcements create … volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction for portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056573
Modelling, monitoring and forecasting volatility are indispensible to sensible portfolio risk management. The … volatility of an asset of composite index can be traded by using volatility derivatives, such as volatility and variance swaps …, options and futures. The most popular volatility index is VIX, which is a key measure of market expectations of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056678
correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang transform …, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model: evidence …, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056694
liquidity shock, separating information maximum likelihood estimation of the integrated volatility and covariance with micro … illustrations, EVT and tail-risk modelling, with evidence from market indices and volatility series, the economics of data using … simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056697