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We propose new Unconditional, Independence and Conditional Coverage VaR-forecast backtests for the case of annuity pricing under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of $p$-hacking or other biased outcomes in decision-making, in general. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232782
of the life insurance contract. To complete the analysis, the shortfall probabilities of the insurance company implied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985716
We analyze the benefit to the insured of newly traded, innovative life insurance contracts. On a sequence of yearly reference days, the insured can choose between a guaranteed return (linked to the insurer's asset result) and a capped index participation. The cap is adjusted at the beginning of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970938
Complex insurance risks typically have multiple exposures. Options on multiple underliers with a short maturity are employed to hedge this exposure. Hedges are illustrated for GMWBVA accounts invested in the nine sector ETF's of the US economy. The underliers are simulated risk neutrally by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971343
This paper proposes an innovative retirement product with a focus on longevity risk sharing, a contract we refer to as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826839
procedures for the evaluation of these formulas. We illustrate the tractability of this approach by means of a detailed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869799
I study dynamic hedging for variable annuities under basis risk. Basis risk, which arises from the imperfect correlation between the underlying fund and the proxy asset used for hedging, has a highly negative impact on the hedging performance. I investigate whether the choice of a suitable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860194
The aim of this paper is to construct a dynamic programming algorithm for pricing variable annuities with GLWB under a stochastic mortality framework. Although our set-up is very general and only requires the Markovian property for the mortality intensity and the asset price processes, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291327
This paper proposes a principal-agent framework to study the optimal transfer of longevity risk between a reinsurer and a hedger under information asymmetry. Most hedgers in the real world have rather small portfolios which are hard to be accurately estimated by the reinsurer. Using indemnity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302009
Guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefits (GLWB) embedded in variable annuities have become an increasingly popular type of life annuity designed to cover sys- tematic mortality risk while providing protection to policyholders from downside investment risk. This paper provides an extensive study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156866