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The statistical techniques which cover the process of modeling and evaluating consumer credit risk have become widely accepted instruments in risk management. In contrast, we find only few and vague statements on how to define the default event, i. e. on the concrete circumstances that lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291126
We apply machine-learning techniques to construct nonlinear nonparametric forecasting models of consumer credit risk. By combining customer transactions and credit bureau data from January 2005 to April 2009 for a sample of a major commercial bank's customers, we are able to construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146973
This study relies on an aggregate dataset of 73 countries from 2013 to 2018 to investigate the nexus between fintech credit, credit information sharing on bank stability. We document several significant findings. First, our evidence implies that fintech credit tends to improve bank stability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436289
Climate change can be a source of financial risk. This paper examines how credit rating agencies accepted by the Eurosystem incorporate climate change risk in their credit ratings. It also analyses how rating agencies disclose their assessments of climate change risks to rating users. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368507
Purpose This paper aims to present a literature review of the most recent optimisation methods applied to Credit Scoring Models (CSMs). Design/methodology/approach The research methodology employed technical procedures based on bibliographic and exploratory analyses. A traditional investigation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506795
The statistical techniques which cover the process of modeling and evaluating consumer credit risk have become widely accepted instruments in risk management. In contrast, we find only few and vague statements on how to define the default event, i. e. on the concrete circumstances that lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002047
We propose an empirical framework to assess joint and conditional probabilities of credit events from CDS prices observed in the market. Our model is based on a dynamic skewed-t distribution that captures many salient features of CDS data, including skewed and heavy-tailed changes in the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072036
Consistent with the theory that human capital management influences organizational performance and risk, we find that employee relations explain the cross-sectional variation in credit risk. We construct an aggregate measure for the quality of employee relations based on the firm's engagement in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155872
In many standard derivation and presentations of risk measures like the Value-at-Risk or the Expected Shortfall, it is assumed that all the model’s parameters are known. In practice, however, the parameters must be estimated and this introduces an additional source of uncertainty that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249938
The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of investment counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve and other asset managers relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source of information for credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695084