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Forecasting ability and strategic behavior of Japanese institutional forecasters
Ashiya, Masahiro - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580933
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Forecasters and rationality : a comment on Fritsche et al., Forecasting the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso ; asymmetric loss, forecast rationality and forecaster herding
Fildes, Robert - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 140-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327376
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Strategic bias and professional affiliations of macroeconomic forecasters
Ashiya, Masahiro - In: Journal of forecasting 28 (2009) 2, pp. 120-130
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814271
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Explaining the recent slump in investment : the role of expected demand and uncertainty
Bussière, Matthieu; Ferrara, Laurent; Milovich, … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566588
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Estimation and testing of forecast rationality under flexible loss
Elliott, Graham; Komunjer, Ivana; Timmermann, Allan - In: The review of economic studies 72 (2005) 4, pp. 1107-1125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003173820
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Are survey forecasts of macroeconomic variables rational?
Aggarwal, Raj - In: The journal of business : B 68 (1995) 1, pp. 99-119
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001177505
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Rationality and Forecasting Accuracy of Exchange Rate Expectations : Evidence from Survey-Based Forecasts
Ince, Onur - 2019
-term forecasts are more accurate than short-term forecasts. Economic evaluation of the forecasts indicates that the forecasters are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903718
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The macroeconomic forecasting model of the MNB
Békési, László; Köber, Csaba; Kucsera, Henrik; … - 2016
The lessons of the financial and macroeconomic crisis of 2007-2008 made the development of a new macroeconomic forecasting model necessary in the MNB. The model represents a small open economy. It is based on the DSGE philosophy but it deviates from it at several points. The new features of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571328
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Forecaster rationality and expectation formation in foreign exchange markets : do emerging countries differ from industrialized economies?
Frenkel, Michael; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; Mauch, Matthias - In: International economic journal 33 (2019) 3, pp. 383-407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201641
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Rationalität und Qualität von Wirtschaftsprognosen
Scheier, Johannes - 2014
Wirtschaftsprognosen sollen die Unsicherheit bezüglich der zukünftigen wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung mindern und Planungsprozesse von Regierungen und Unternehmen unterstützen. Empirische Studien bescheinigen ihnen jedoch in aller Regel ein unbefriedigendes Qualitätsniveau. Auf der Suche nach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305813