Abel, Guy J.; Bijak, Jakub; Forster, Jonathan J.; … - In: Demographic Research 29 (2013) 43, pp. 1187-1226
In this paper, we illustrate the application of Bayesian time series models to obtain future population estimates with uncertainty. The focus is on a simple projection model with the historical data representing population change in England and Wales from 1841 to 2007. The Bayesian forecasts to...