This paper provides evidence that aggregate returns on commodity futures (without the returns on collateral) are predictable, both in-sample and out-of-sample, by various lagged variables from the stock market, bond market, macroeconomics, and the commodity market. Out of the 32 candidate...

Risk management is crucial for optimal portfolio management. One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance is the expansion of financial deriva-tives. The purpose of this special issue on “Risk Management and Financial Deriva-tives” is to highlight some areas in which novel...

We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...

Arbitrage is non-parametrically examined and empirically analyzed in US equity markets. Firstly, analyzed are the properties of arbitrage; and secondly, the factors explaining arbitrage are tested. Empirical analysis concerns a decade of intraday data of five US equity indices and is also...

This paper empirically examines the relationship between trading volume and conditional volatility of returns in the Tunisian stock market within the framework of the mixture of distribution hypothesis (MDH) and the sequential information arrival hypothesis (SIAH). Through this study, we...

We design average portfolio insurance (API) strategies with an investment floor and a buffer that is a power of a geometric average of the underlying asset price. We prove that API strategies are optimal for investors with hyperbolic absolute risk aversion who become progressively more risk...

Equity basket correlation is an important risk factor. It characterizes the strength of linear dependence between assets and thus measures the degree of portfolio diversification. It can be estimated both under the physical measure from return series, and under the risk neutral measure from...

Equity basket correlation is an important risk factor. It characterizes the strength of linear dependence between assets and thus measures the degree of portfolio diversification. It can be estimated both under the physical measure from return series, and under the risk neutral measure from...

Ex ante (expected) average equity market correlation is linked to the differential correlation dynamics of growth and value firms, as well as the value premium. It predicts returns on the value factor, returns of growth firms, and the changes in growth options within an economy for horizons up...

When the true asset pricing model cannot be identified, the idiosyncratic volatility obtained from a misspecified model contains information of the hedge portfolio in Merton's (1973) ICAPM. Empirically, I find that from 1815 to 2018, more than two centuries, neither equal-weighted idiosyncratic...