Pierdzioch, Christian; Reitz, Stefan; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2014
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectation-formation process in the U.S. stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time...