Chen, Zinzhu; Kannan, Prakash; Loungani, Prakash; … - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - 2011
We provide cross-country evidence on the relative importance of cyclical and structural factors in explaining unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007-09. About 75% of the forecast error variance of unemployment is accounted for by...