This paper has two main objectives. The first objective is to propose a new indicator of core inflation, which is obtained by cleaning month on month relative price fluctuations from overall price changes and idiosyncratic dynamics. We use a factor model with the subcomponents of CPI inflation...

In this study, we discuss the overall performance of different core inflation measures for Turkey. We first describe and derive the core measures based on exclusion, statistical and model-based methods. We then compare their performances during the entire sample period of January 2003 –...

In this paper, we produce short term forecasts for the inflation in Turkey, using a large number of econometric models. In particular, we employ univariate models, decomposition based approaches (both in frequency and time domain), a Phillips curve motivated time varying parameter model, a suite...

The aim of this study is to determine if the common movement among the currencies of emerging market economies that implement flexible exchange rate regime after 2000 is closely related to financial variables. This common movement, which has been derived using a dynamic factor model, is...

There is recent interest in the generalization of classical factor models in which the idiosyncratic factors are assumed to be orthogonal and there are identification restrictions on cross-sectional and time dimensions. In this study, we describe and implement a Bayesian approach to generalized...

Macroeconomic activity has become less volatile over the past three decades in most G7 economies. Current literature focuses on the characterization of the volatility reduction and explanations for this so called "moderation" in each G7 economy separately. In opposed to individual country...

The aim of this study is to show that there exists a common movement among the currencies of emerging market economies that implemented the exible exchange rate regime after 2000. Also, we examine if this common movement is closely related to financial markets and some macroeconomic fundamentals...

There is recent interest in the generalization of classical factor models in which the idiosyncratic factors are assumed to be orthogonal and there are identification restrictions on cross-sectional and time dimensions. In this study, we describe and implement a Bayesian approach to generalized...

Macroeconomic activity has become less volatile over the past three decades in most G7 economies. Current literature focuses on the characterization of the volatility reduction and explanations for this so called "moderation" in each G7 economy separately. In opposed to individual country...

This paper has two main objectives. The first objective is to propose a new indicator of core inflation, which is obtained by idiosyncratic dynamics and cleaning month on month relative price fluctuations from overall price changes. We use a factor model with the subcomponents of CPI inflation...