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The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
The argument that policy risk, i.e. uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series using Sequential Monte Carlo Methods. While we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293363
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318821
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681222
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011290220
The argument that policy risk, i.e. uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series using Sequential Monte Carlo Methods. While we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126071
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078531
The argument that uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy has been holding back the recovery in the U.S. during …-varying policy risk. The “pure uncertainty” effect of this policy risk is unlikely to play a major role in business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011076659
This paper quantifies the empirical importance of various types of relevant shocks in explaining macroeconomic uctuations in a typical Sub{saharan African economy (C^ote d'Ivoire) in the context of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model and Bayesian techniques. Our analysis first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587852
In this paper, I study the drop of real GDP volatility which has been observed in the United States during the postwar period. This paper thoroughly estimates how much sectoral shifts contributed to this phenomenon called the Great Moderation. In a short section, Stock and Watson (2003) find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316043