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inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263831
Modifications to Japan's monetary policy framework will be needed as positive inflation resumes because the current … an "anti-deflation" objective to an inflation objective, complemented by a shift of monetary operations from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263789
Upon entry into the European Union, countries become members of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), with a derogation from adopting the euro as their currency (that is, each country joining the EU commits to replace its national currency with the euro, but can choose when to request...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767345
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
) has been to raise inflation targets to provide more room for policy rate easing during crises. This paper addresses a … different issue: the relationship between inflation and welfare. The literature is surveyed and a model is developed. A key … conclusion is that an increase in inflation targets gives rise to additional welfare costs, even after the extra room to maneuver …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141999
Macroeconomic theory postulates that fiscal deficits cause inflation. Yet empirical research has had limited success in … incorporates two key features of the theory. Unlike previous studies, we model inflation as nonlinearly related to fiscal deficits … through the inflation tax base and estimate this relationship as intrinsically dynamic, using panel techniques that explicitly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769323
low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic … interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most … reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826023
This paper presents a model for Inflation Targeting under imperfect policy credibility. It modifies the conventional … time; non-linearities in the inflation equation and in the credibility generating process; and an explicit loss function …. The model highlights problems associated with the practice of setting a series of rigid near-term inflation targets. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999964
Union (WAEMU) from 1994 to 2009, this paper provides evidence of the two major channels for real effects of inflation …: inflation uncertainty and relative price variability. In line with theory and most evidence for advanced and emerging market … economies, higher inflation increases inflation uncertainty and relative price variability in all WAEMU countries. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876598
-rate policy fits a conventional forward-looking reaction function with an inflation target of about 1 percent. The disappointing … inflation target would not have yielded a lasting improvement in performance. However, a price-targeting rule or a policy rule … that combined a higher inflation target with a more aggressive response to output would have achieved superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008460594