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This Note considers the problem of aggregating individual probability estimates of an event to obtain a group estimate …. Norman Dalkey has argued that no rigorous theory of probability aggregation is possible for the following reasons: (1) There … is no consistent way of aggregating individual probability estimates (Dalkey's Impossibility Theorem). But Dalkey …
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Multiattribute utility theory requires a specific relation between the range of outcomes of each attribute and the weight for that attribute. The greater the range, the greater the weight has to be. Experimental results show that subjects do not adjust their judgments properly if the range is...
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