Bordley, Robert F.; Wolff, Ronald W. - In: Management Science 27 (1981) 8, pp. 959-964
This Note considers the problem of aggregating individual probability estimates of an event to obtain a group estimate …. Norman Dalkey has argued that no rigorous theory of probability aggregation is possible for the following reasons: (1) There … is no consistent way of aggregating individual probability estimates (Dalkey's Impossibility Theorem). But Dalkey …