This paper delineates the simultaneous impact of non-anticipated information on mean and variance of the intraday return process by including appropriate variables accounting for the news flow into both the mean and the variance function. This allows us to differentiate between the consistent...

This paper delineates the simultaneous impact of non-anticipated information on first and second moments of the intraday price process by including appropriate variables accounting for the news flow into both the mean and the variance function. This allows us to differentiate between the...

We examine whether finance professionals deviate from Bayes’ theorem on the processing of nondiagnostic information when forecasting quarterly earnings. Using field data from sell-side financial analysts and employing a regression discontinuity design, we find that analysts whose forecasts...

Certainty equivalence (CE) and probability equivalence (PE) methods are the two most frequently used procedures for constructing von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions. In this paper, we compare these methods experimentally, using a two-stage within-subject design. By asking subjects first...

This paper investigates the Borda-Kendall method for the determination of a consensus ranking. It is shown that in the case of ties the method does not perform as claimed. A "minimum variance" method for determining the consensus ranking is proposed and its properties examined. It is shown to be...

This paper investigates the problem of obtaining a compromise/consensus from a set of ordinal rankings of n objects supplied by m committee members. Earlier work by Cook and Seiford (Cook, Wade D., Lawrence M. Seiford. 1978. Priority ranking and consensus formation. Management Sci. 24 (16)...

When several persons organized as a group are to choose one from among several specified alternatives they may make use of majority voting or some other decision-making process. This paper considers the case in which the decision process includes among the alternatives some that are probability...

This paper draws on econometrics, von Neumann-Morgenstern utility theory, stochastic choice theory, and consumer behavior to develop five basic axioms or postulates of stochastic choice behavior. These axioms imply the existence and uniqueness of a preference function which identifies how...