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The suitability of the elliptical distribution to model asset returns in applied work is examined. Two frameworks are identified: the first framework allows for normality testing but fails to capture the GARCH effect present in the data; the second framework captures the GARCH effect but has the...
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The VARLINEX (value at risk linear exponent) forecasting procedure is presented in this paper, which explicitly adjusts the forecasts when the loss functions of the forecaster are asymmetric. The theory of order statistics is applied to derive the VARLINEX forecasts and their corresponding...
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Recent macro-finance contributions explain a great deal of unconditional asset pricing by introducing persistent consumption risks and rare disasters. Only the volatility puzzles remain unresolved among the longer-established issues in this literature. Motivated by empirical finance...
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