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We examine rational learning among expert chess players and how they update their beliefs in repeated games with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278609
prospects of a resource. We uncover the impact of exogenously shifting the prior beliefs of each player on the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008753059
prospects of a resource. We focus on Markov-perfect strate- gies under truthful revelation of beliefs. For reasonable initial … conditions, exogenously shif- ting the prior beliefs of one player towards more pressimism about the potential of natural … higher than before the pessimistic shift in beliefs of that single player. Due to this weakness in strategic conservation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095237
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … disaster has occurred. Such a shift in beliefs can trigger massive declines in price-dividend ratios. Pessimistic beliefs … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368587
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … disaster has occurred. Such a shift in beliefs can trigger massive declines in price-dividend ratios. Pessimistic beliefs … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387528
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … disaster has occurred. Such a shift in beliefs can trigger massive declines in price-dividend ratios. Pessimistic beliefs … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … disaster has occurred. Such a shift in beliefs can trigger massive declines in price-dividend ratios. Pessimistic beliefs … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982194
eventually approximate Nash equilibria of the repeated game under an absolute-continuity assumption on their prior beliefs.  We … revise beliefs that are performing badly.  We show that this process converges in probability to a Nash equilibrium of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004151
We introduce coordination failures driven by beliefs regarding the presence of taste discriminators as a channel of … the theoretical predictions, beliefs about discrimination are a significant correlate of self-employment rates, as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994620
We report on an experiment examining behavior and equilibrium selection in two similar, infinitely repeated games, Stag Hunt and Prisoner's Dilemma under anonymous random matching. We are interested in the role that precedents may play for equilibrium selection between these two stage game...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478794