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The existing literature deals with the optimal investment strategy of defined benefit (DB) or defined contribution (DC) pension plans. This paper's objective is to compare the optimal policies of different types of pension plans. This is done by first defining an original framework, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142772
Climate change is a phenomenon beset with major uncertainties and researchers should include them in Integrated Assessment Models. However, including further dimensions in IAM models comes at a cost. In particular, it makes most of these models suffer from the curse of dimensionality. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
We develop a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating finite-horizon discrete choice dynamic programming (DDP) models. The proposed algorithm has the potential to reduce the computational burden significantly when some of the state variables are continuous. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983458
We propose a new methodology for structural estimation of infinite horizon dynamic discrete choice models. We combine the Dynamic Programming (DP) solution algorithm with the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm into a single algorithm that solves the DP problem and estimates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047635
This paper explores sufficient conditions for a continuous stationary Markov optimal policy and a concave value function in stochastic dynamic programming problems. Also, the paper addresses conditions needed for the differentiability of the value function. The paper uses conditions such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055370
In this paper we propose a unifying approach to the study of recursive economic problems. Postulating an aggregator function as the fundamental expression of tastes, we explore conditions under which a utility function can be constructed. We also modify the usual dynamic programming arguments to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043550
In this paper we study a Markov decision process with a non-linear discount function. Our approach is in spirit of the von Neumann-Morgenstern concept and is based on the notion of expectation. First, we define a utility on the space of trajectories of the process in the finite and infinite time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584359
Based on OECD evidence, equity/housing-price busts and credit crunches are followed by substantial increases in public consumption. These increases in unproductive public spending lead to increases in distortionary marginal taxes, a policy in sharp contrast with presumably optimal Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936366
We analyze the policy implications of aversion to Knightian uncertainty (ambiguity) about the possibility of tipping points. We demonstrate two channels through which uncertainty aversion affects optimal policy in the general setting. The first channel relates to the policy's effect on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014528