Guiraud, Vivien; Terraza, Michel; Darné, Olivier - In: Journal of Forecasting 23 (2004) 1, pp. 1-17
We study the probability of rejecting the seasonal unit root tests developed by Hylleberg et al. when they are applied to fractionally integrated seasonal time series. We find that these tests have quite low power and that they lead to a risk of over-differencing. The forecasting performance of...