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We disentangle U.S. credit spreads' evolution into two distinct parts resulting from market risk and default risk influences. We consider credit spreads (versus Treasury yields) as a credit risk proxy and S&P500 stock index as a market/systematic risk proxy. Such data allow for achieving a...
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This paper argues that first passage time models are likely to better than affine hazard rate models in modelling stressed credit markets and confirms their superior performance in explaining the behavior of Credit Default Swap rates for the major US banking groups over the period of the...
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We examine how regulatory uncertainty impacts the credit spreads of covered bonds issued by U.S. domiciled banks. Using data on covered bonds issued by Washington Mutual and Bank of America, for the September 2006 to December 2016 period, we find that investors require an incremental spread that...
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Based on the structural model, macroeconomic and liquidity factors are tested against credit spread changes in American OTC corporate bonds. I discovered that the volatility of long run Treasury yield has even greater explanatory power than the yield itself. Macroeconomic indicators, such as...
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