The paper examines the credit spread between government and corporate bonds at different maturities. Theoretical models assume that credit risk premiums for high quality firms monotonously increase with maturity. We find evidence suggesting that bonds issued at maturities attracting the highest...

This paper identifies a precursory role of short sellers in conveying adverse information to the corporate bond market. We study this in two ways, by examining subsequent calendar month excess (risk-adjusted) bond returns for portfolios formed on the basis of high short interest in a prior...

Testing of the expectation hypothesis (EH) for very short interest rates has provided mixed results. My paper seeks to reconcile conflicting evidence on the EH for the US repo market by exploiting the fact that repo rates are affected by the demand/supply of bonds provided as collateral against...

Although China now has one of the largest government bond markets in the world, the market has received relatively little attention and analysis. We describe the history and structure of the market and assess its functioning. We find that trading in individual bonds was historically sparse but...

I examine the previously unexplored relation between aggregate earnings changes and corporate bond market returns. I find that aggregate earnings changes have a negative relation to investment-grade corporate bond market returns and a positive relation to high-yield corporate bond market...

We take advantage of the historical onetime event of the European sovereign debt crisis and investigate the impact of European sovereign downgrades and negative watches on the European government bond and stock market including the partial default of Greece in March 2012. Results are based on an...

I present an improved equity momentum measure for corporate bonds and study the Euro denominated global investment grade corporate bond market between 2000 and 2016. I document economically meaningful and statistically significant corporate bond return predictability. In contrast to the widely...

This paper provides a first step in developing a system-wide stress simulation. The model incorporates several important features of the financial system. These include several types of institution (including banks and non-banks) and how their actions may propagate and amplify stress. Rather...

Portfolio trading, a recent innovation in the corporate bond market, involves trading a basket of bonds as a single piece of risk with a single market-maker. Using a proprietary dataset of portfolio inquiries, we train a machine learning algorithm to identify portfolio trades in TRACE. Using...

We show that larger trades incur lower trading costs in government bond markets (“size discount”), but costs increase in trade size after controlling for clients’ identities (“size penalty”). The size discount is driven by the cross-client variation of larger traders obtaining better...