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; unemployment ; wages … (EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner's model, monetary … national business cycles which, in turn, leads to higher unemployment risk. In order to counter-balance this effect, trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127665
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009516010
(EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner's model, monetary … national business cycles which, in turn, leads to higher unemployment risk. In order to counter-balance this effect, trade … unions lower their claims for wage mark-ups resulting in lower wage growth and lower unemployment. This paper uses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274904
Recently, the unemployment gap in the euro area has fallen markedly. However, wages increased less than predicted by … alternative measures for labor market slack, namely the unemployment gap and the European Commission's labor shortage indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925564
Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation can be on a downward trend. Using the structure of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181303
We show that a .scal expansion by the core economies of the euro area would have a large and positive impact on periphery GDP assuming that policy rates remain low for a prolonged period. Under our preferred model speci.cation, an expansion of core government spending equal to one percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294265
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation can be on a downward trend. Using the structure of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838759