This paper applies the regression quantile approach developed by Koenker and Xiao (2004) to investigate the dynamic behavior of inflation in 12 OECD countries. By analyzing the behavior in a wide range of quantiles, this method allows us to quantify the influence of various sizes of shocks that...

Previous studies on the stationarity properties of the real exchange rates in developing countries in Asia have generally produced mixed results. The unit root behavior is puzzling because it contradicts the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis. This study examines international data on 15...

This paper proposes a new procedure for testing the unit root null against stationary but nonlinear alternatives. This test can be viewed as a generalization of the one developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003) (the KSS test) by incorporating stationary covariates. The asymptotic distribution of the...

Under the assumption of intertemporal balance, current foreign reserve holdings should equal the present value of the sum of future current account and financial account balances. To satisfy the intertemporal balance, a testable condition indicates that the change in foreign reserves needs to...

This article employs the covariate unit root test proposed by Elliott and Jansson to investigate the stationarity properties of real interest rates. Instead of blindly trusting the asymptotic distribution of the test, we extend Rudebusch's method to estimate its finite sample distributions under...

Event forecasts, often generated from estimated econometric models, comprise a binary time series. In empirical finance, the market timing test proposed by Henricksson and Merton (1981) is probably the most popular method to assess the accuracy of these forecasts. Unfortunately, event forecasts...