The paper estimates conditional pricing models for 11 international government bonds and shows that, while local instruments capture the change in the bonds’ risks, global instruments model the variation in the factor risk premia. Altogether the changes in the factor risk premium capture...

In this paper we investigate whether there are any significant differences in the ability of constant and time-varying expected return asset pricing models to detect superior performance in hedge funds. Our results strongly suggest that the static models traditionally employed to measure and...

This article studies the link between the predictability of futures returns and the business cycle. Modelling the relationship between the variation through time in expected futures returns and economic activity should give us some insight as to whether the predictable movements in futures...

The paper studies the conditional risk premia and volatilities in the Real Estate Investment Trust sector. In particular, the conditional correlations of REITs are estimated against a variety of equity and bond series. The paper builds upon recent work in the REIT literature to have examined the...

This paper investigates whether the predictability of futures returns is due to weak-form market inefficiency or to rational variation in the return required by investors over time. Market efficiency is tested with respect to the hypothesis that a conditional multifactor model that allows for...

A vast literature has documented the value premium and the small firm effect as pervasive stylized facts in empirical asset pricing and yet research has been largely unable to provide entirely convincing explanations of why these phenomena exist. This paper demonstrates that the cross-sectional...

This study considers the relationship between trading volumes, transactions costs, and the profitability of momentum strategies using data from the UK. We demonstrate that round-trip transactions costs for selling loser firms are around double those of buying winners, and in particular, the...