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contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127608
In the first-half of the global financial turmoil, rising inflation was a major concern for emerging East Asian central … addressing higher inflation or supporting moderate growth. Higher food and fuel prices were the major drivers of headline … inflation. Their causes, however, were a confluence of factors--whether cyclical or structural, domestic or global, supply or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529710
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208787
In the first-half of the global financial turmoil, rising inflation was a major concern for emerging East Asian central … addressing higher inflation or supporting moderate growth. Higher food and fuel prices were the major drivers of headline … inflation. Their causes, however, were a confluence of factors--whether cyclical or structural, domestic or global, supply or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029775
asymmetry of sectoral relative-price changes and the aggregate inflation rate. This correlation is widely interpreted as … evidence that short-run inflation is determined by supply-side factors; however, we study whether, in addition to the inflation …, that the positive and significant effect of relative-price change asymmetries on inflation is not robust with respect to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695560
situation helps to explain the surge in the country's inflation and its very high growth in financial condition from late 2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008826302
We analyze the determinants of average individual in ation uncertainty and disagreement based on data from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We empirically confirm the implication from a theoretical decomposition of in ation uncertainty that disagreement is an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453118
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly … separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation … target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of the observed high inflation target during the Great Inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124998