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relative to the US leads to an expected appreciation of the domestic currency while higher relative inflation expectations lead …
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provide useful information for forecasting exchange rates. After accounting for currency-specific constants, a 10 percent …. Finally, deviations from relative Big Mac parity seem to be helpful in forecasting relative local currency prices. When the U ….S. dollar price of Big Macs is high in a country, the relative local currency price of Big Macs in that country is likely to …
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This paper offers an empirical characterization of the relation between the international price of oil and exchange rates that is both useful and reliable. Our characterization is useful because it rests on information of asset prices that are determined in functioning asset markets. Our...
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In this paper we evaluate the predictive power of the three most popular equilibrium exchange rate concepts: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and the Macroeconomic Balance (MB) approach. We show that there is a clear trade-off between storytelling and...
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