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Using two newly available ultrahigh-frequency datasets, we investigate empirically how frequently one can sample certain foreign exchange and U.S. Treasury security returns without contaminating estimates of their integrated volatility with market micro-structure noise. We find that one can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218882
key focus of thisworking paper.Literature distinguishes between three different kinds of credit pricing models: Asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003839335
We study the impact of news embedded in scheduled macroeconomic announcements on the government bond market in Poland and the Czech Republic. We conduct an event study on intraday data and time-series regressions using daily data over an eight-year period, distinguishing between effects under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529892
This paper adopts quantile regressions to scrutinize the realized stock-bond correlation based upon high frequency returns. The paper provides in-sample and out-of-sample analysis and considers factors constructed from a large number of macro-finance predictors well-know from the return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069344
This paper examines the ability of bond and stock markets to predict subsequent GDP growth over a range of horizons for twelve international countries. The results, using linear, probit, time- and regime-varying in-sample regressions and out-of-sample forecasting, confirm the view that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891593
This paper examines the behaviour of stock and bond markets across four major international countries. The results confirm the view that same asset-cross country return correlations and spillovers increase over time. However, the same in not true with variance and covariance behaviour....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892340
By adopting a dynamic ARDL transformation, we investigate the cointegrating relationship of the government bond debt yields, driven by the common money market factors in Economic Monetary Union. The findings indicate that the introduction of the common currency has not a uniform effect on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007720
We consider whether key financial variables predict macroeconomic series and if any predictive power for output growth is also seen in consumption or investment growth. Such information will allow the use of financial markets as a leading indicator for macroeconomic performance. Full sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860534
Although the federal funds rate started rising from mid-2004 US long term rates continued to fall. A likely contributory factor to this conundrum was the contemporaneous increase in US bond demand. Using ARDL-based models, which accommodate structural breaks, this paper estimates the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056806