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We study the role of the cost of inflation channel in determining the risk premium in a (nonlinear) New Keynesian DSGE … model. Relying on a Calvo (or Rotemberg) price setting, we show that while the cost of inflation channel generates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492093
This paper develops a DSGE model which explains variation in the nominal and real term structure along with inflation … time-varying term premia. We find a fall in nominal term premia during the 1990's which mainly is due to lower inflation … production costs, positive investment shocks, and a more aggressive response to inflation by the Bank of England …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133556
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135613
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia and inflation … survey data on inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both … sufficiently developed in both monetary areas, inflation risk premia across various maturities had strikingly similar properties in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963028
and the inflation risk premia differential (IRPD) component. We find that the IRPD component is significantly negative for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825223
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
A dynamic term structure model based on an explicit structural macroeconomic framework is used to estimate inflation … risk premia in the United States and the euro area. On average over the past decade, inflation risk premia have been … fluctuations in economic growth and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200233
This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097