Sensitivity analysis identifies the critical aspects of the investment model that affect model output uncertainty. Common sensitivity analysis on options considers how the solution changes as a result of change in one of the key parameters (underlying asset value, volatility, exercise price,...

This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty about input parameters on the accuracy of real option valuation. It compares the error from no-arbitrage valuation with the error from using DCF. Despite the theoretical superiority of no-arbitrage valuation it is shown to be less accurate than...

This paper uses an example involving a commercial real estate project to demonstrate the practical application of real options analysis. The approach described can be used to value the project at any stage of construction, which is especially useful when market conditions are poor and suspension...

This paper establishes a degree of influence between an inflation rate and a risk-free investment rate on the precision of estimated value of an Asian real option. It has been shown with an example that in the event of advancing by the inflation rate beyond profitability of risk-free...

A method for handling the problem of financial mission statement has been suggested to evaluate effects of projected upgrading equipment of a manufacturing company. For this end, such project is analyzed as an Asian real option with constant business volatility. The problem is solved using the...

This paper addresses the classical real options problem taking debt renegotiation into account. A critical feature is that equityholders can freely initiate debt renegotiation at most once after debt issuance. We provide explicit solutions of the pricing and timing of the option to start a...

R&D is often a highly uncertain venture where experiments achieve successful outcomes on an extraordinarily rare basis. Just one successful product could change the future of a company; the discovery stage can often be an invaluable or disastrous experience. We develop a real R&D option model...

We value two real options related to offshore petroleum production. We consider expansion of an offshore oil field by tying in a satellite field, and the option of early decommissioning. Even if the satellite field is not profitable to develop at current oil prices, the option to tie in such...

Comparative-statics results for financial options are often assumed to hold for real options. But the effects of higher volatility need not be increased value and postponed investment. This depends on signs of correlations and what parameters are held constant. For real options, the...

Stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility perform poorly relative to low idiosyncratic volatility stocks. We offer a novel explanation of this anomaly based on real options, which is consistent with earlier findings on idiosyncratic volatility (the positive contemporaneous relation between...