The viability of international diversification involves balancing benefits and costs.This balance hinges on the degree of asset dependence. In light of theoretical researchlinking diversification and dependence, we examine international diversification usingtwo measures of dependence:...

When assets exhibit asymmetric dependence or joint downside risk, diversificationcan fail and financial markets may be prone to systemic risk. We analyze thedependence structure of risk factors in the US economy, using both correlations anda parsimonious set of copulas. We find evidence of...

A central role for economic policy involves understanding and reducing the impact of unexpected,extreme events. In this paper, we develop a simple economic framework with latentregime switches. This framework explains why investors and policymakers can decide not tohedge against extreme events,...

A central role for economic policy involves reducing the incidence of systemic downturns,when key economic variables experience joint extreme events. In this paper,we empirically analyze such asymmetric dependence using two approaches, correlationsand copulas. We document four findings. First,...

Can added value be obtained from better collaboration between oil companies and contractors? The topic is addressed by analysing organisational patterns, contracts and compensation formats.Specific issues raised in this paper include the following questions. Are adjustments needed to contractual...

This paper introduces bond market order flow as a predictor variable in term structuremodels and provides evidence that order flow has forecasting ability over and above thatof forward rates. Both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts show that models includ-ing interdealer order flow outperform...

A real choice exists today on a number of discoveries between platform-based or subsea development solutions. Statistics from the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS) show that fields developed with fixed platforms have a substantially higher recovery factor. The potential for a later commitment to...

This paper investigates the process of price discovery in government bond markets.By using a new data set including interdealer trades, customer trades, trade types anddealer identities, the paper explores the role of dealers in the price formation processand seeks to identify their sources of...

This paper introduces a framework that directly quanti…es information spillovers be-tween …nancial markets. Information spillovers occur when market speci…c information,de…ned as information that directly affects the return or volatility in one market only,indirectly affects returns or...

We investigate the relationship between bankruptcy risk and expected future sales growthfor Norwegian non-listed rms for the period 1988-2007. We nd that rms with highbankruptcy risk also have high expected future growth. Financial ratios characterizingrms with high bankruptcy risk also...