Das ifo Institut beleuchtet seit Jahren kritisch die Güte der eigenen Konjunkturprognosen, die jeweils im Dezember eines Jahres t für das darauffolgende Kalenderjahr t + 1 abgegeben werden (vgl. Nierhaus 2019).1 Unter Einschluss der zum Prognosezeitpunkt noch unbekannten amtlichen Ergebnisse...

The recent economic recession in Greece has had a detrimental impact on all national business activities, with the logistics industry being one of the most affected sectors primarily due to the significant decrease in market demand for goods and services. In this regard, the aim of this research...

The paper investigates the role and impact of different groups of firms according to their growth type on macroeconomic aggregates at various stages of the economic cycle based on the entire population of firms in Slovenia. The applied classification of growing and fast-growing firms is based on...

The political-economic cycle can be caused as the consequence of the wrong political decisions, made with the aim of re-election and maintaining the political power. These decisions influence the macroeconomic indicators of the country and their presence is problematic in the advanced economies....

With strong historical ties, and economic linkages that have continued to grow after the fall of the Soviet Union, the Baltic and Nordic regions form a unique economic space. How interconnected are these regions, both to each other and to the rest of the world? Greater connections can help...

This article summarizes the main findings on problems related to the measurement and identification of business cycles. The aim of this study is to define and identify the determinants of business cycles. This paper provides an overview of the methodology and its future course. Our investigation...

Paper deals with the analysis of investment in the business cycle. Analysis is based on available quarterly data for the Czech Republic since 1st quarter 1999 till 1st quarter 2014. It concludes that investment on the macroeconomic level is highly pro-cyclical component of demand, which...

This study argues that increasing malinvestment in an economy raises the actual credit risk but not the calculated credit risk until the onset of a recession. To this end, I analyse the relationship between credit risk and malinvestment in Germany, Spain, and Italy using a credit risk indicator...