In this note, I show that the ordered and sequential probit models are special cases of the multinomial probit model where the disturbance terms in the latent variables degenerate or those variances converge to zero at a certain rate.

This paper investigates the spurious effect in forecasting asset returns when signals from technical trading rules are used as predictors. Against economic intuition, the simulation result shows that, even if past information has no predictive power, buy or sell signals based on the difference...

In this note, I show that the ordered and sequential probit models are special cases of the multinomial probit model where the disturbance terms in the latent variables degenerate or those variances converge to zero at a certain rate.

Information matrix (IM) test (White, 1982) has been used for detecting general model misspecification in the applied econometrics literature. Two of the most commonly used asymptotic covariance matrix estimators (ACMEs) for the IM test are the one that White (1982) proposed in his original paper...

In this paper, we propose a simple methodology for investigating how shocks to trend and cycle are correlated in unidentified unobserved components models, in which the correlation is not identified. The proposed methodology is applied to U.S. and U.K. real GDP data. We find that the correlation...

Conventionally, shocks to permanent and transitory components in the unobserved components (UC) model for the log of real GDP are assumed to be uncorrelated. This assumption is mainly for identification of model parameters. In this paper, we show important implications of two popular measures of...