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We show that confidence regions covering the identified set may be preferable to confidence regions covering each of its points in robust control applications.
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This study used the concepts of set- and maximum-coverage to formulate capacitated multiple-recharging-station-location models, using a mixed integer programming method, based on a vehicle-refueling logic. The results of the case study demonstrate that the use of mixed stations can achieve the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755107
We report a portfolio-choice experiment that enables us to estimate parametric models of ambiguity aversion at the level of the individual subject. The assets are Arrow securities that correspond to three states of nature, where one state is risky with known probability and two states are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599655
Keynes (1921) and Ellsberg (1961) have articulated an aversion toward betting on an urn containing balls of two colors of unknown proportion to one with a 50-50 composition. Keynes views this as reflecting different preferences for bets arising from different sources of uncertainty. Ellsberg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536998
Decision theory can be used to test the logic of decision making---one may ask whether a given set of decisions can be justified by a decision-theoretic model. Indeed, in principal-agent settings, such justifications may be required---a manager of an investment fund may be asked what beliefs she...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014537027
The well-known Blackwell's theorem states the equivalence of statistical informativeness and economic valuableness. Celen (2012) generalizes this theorem, which is well-known for subjective expected utility (SEU), to maxmin expected utility (MEU) preferences. We demonstrate that the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422278
We characterize prior-by-prior Bayesian updating using a model proposed by Gilboa, Maccheroni, Marinacci and Schmeidler (2010) that jointly considers objective and subjective rationality. These rationality concepts are subject to the Bewley unanimity rule and maxmin expected utility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215287
We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our experiments are implemented in the laboratory with a student population, and pushed out through a large-scale panel to a general sample of the US population. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012290328
Ellsberg's experiment involved a gamble with no ambiguity (N) and a gamble where the prize that could be won is objectively known, but the winning probability depends on the (ambiguous) urn's composition (P). We extend this by including a gamble where the winning probability is objectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284066