We study the effect of the business cycle on optimal capital structure choice and the benefit to leverage. We propose a regime switching model with a state-dependent cash flow process to capture macroeconomic risk in a firm's cash flow. Our model is parsimonious but still realistic and allows...

This paper develops a structural equilibrium model with intertemporal macroeconomic risk, incorporating the fact that firms are heterogeneous in their asset composition. Compared with firms that are mainly composed of invested assets, firms with growth options have higher costs of debt because...

This paper develops a model with the novel feature that firms can renegotiate debt both in and outside distress. We show that this feature is crucial for debt renegotiation models to explain corporate policies and debt prices. Specifically, the model reflects empirical credit spread patterns,...

A good description of the dynamics of interest rates is crucial to price derivatives and to hedge corresponding risk. Interest rate modelling in an unstable macroeconomic context motivates one factor models with time varying parameters. In this paper, the local parameter approach is introduced...

We develop an asset-pricing model with endogenous corporate policies that explains how inflation jointly impacts real asset prices and corporate default risk. Our model includes two empirically grounded nominal frictions: fixed nominal coupons and sticky profitability. Taken together, these two...

We study the effect of the business cycle on optimal capital structure choice and the benefit to leverage. We propose a regime switching model with a state-dependent cash flow process to capture macroeconomic risk in a firm's cash flow. Our model is parsimonious but still realistic and allows...

This article challenges Modigliani & Miller's (M&M) Famous Homemade Leverage Proof. The M&M proof suggests that since in efficient markets any value impact from leverage results in a homemade arbitrage opportunity, leverage must be value neutral. However, through the uncontroversial notion of...

This paper explores theoretically and empirically the link between macroeconomic risk and corporate financing policies. In a structural trade-off model of tax benefits and default costs, I introduce EBIT growth and volatility rates that depend on the business cycle. The model shows that leverage...

I build a dynamic capital structure model that demonstrates how business-cycle variations in expected growth rates, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk prices, default probabilities, and default losses arise...

We embed a structural model of credit risk inside a dynamic continuous-time consumption-based asset pricing model, which allows us to price equity and corporate debt in a unified framework. Our key economic assumptions are that the first and second moments of earnings and consumption growth...