Many variables of interest in business and agricultural surveys have skewed distributions. Small area estimation methods are investigated under an assumption that the lognormal model is a reasonable approximation for the distribution of the response given covariates. Closed form expressions for...

The empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) in the linear mixed model (LMM) is useful for the small area estimation, and the estimation of the mean squared error (MSE) of EBLUP is important as a measure of uncertainty of EBLUP. To obtain a second-order unbiased estimator of the MSE, the...

The empirical Bayes (EB) estimator or empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) in the linear mixed model (LMM) is useful for the small area estimation in the sense of increasing the precision of estimation of small area means. However, one potential difficulty of EB is that when...

This work is part of a project studying the performance of model based estimators in a small area context. We have chosen a simple statistical application in which we estimate the growth rate of accupation for several regions of Spain. We compare three estimators: the direct one based on...

In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity in the euro area by using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogeneous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty...

Distortionary income taxation in a standard New Keynesian model substantially increases the nominal term-premium on long-term bonds relative to a model with lumpsum taxes. Also the empirical level of the nominal term premium can be matched with lower risk-aversion coefficient in case of a model...

In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...

We introduce costly firm-entry a la Bilbiie et al. (2012) into a New Keynesian model with Epstein-Zin preferences and show that it can jointly account for a high mean value of bond and equity premium without compromising the fit of the model to first and second moments of key macroeconomic...

I outline a new method for finding third-order accurate solutions to dynamic general equilibrium models. I extend the Gomme & Klein (2011) solution for second-order approximations without using tensors, to a third-order. In particular I derive a third-order matrix chain rule and use this to...