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We use novel data on individual activity in a sports betting market to study the effect of past performance sequences on individual behavior in a real market. The revelation of fundamental values in this market enables us to disentangle whether behavior is caused by sentiment or by superior...
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is less likely to be bailed out, the effect on upstream profits is ambiguous while consumers loose. Options are less … welfare increasing than forwards, but the difference is minimal. In the presence of bankruptcy, options are the preferred …
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