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of collective action clauses (CACs) in international bonds. This decision was shaped partly by Mexico's successful launch … of a bond subject to New York law but featuring CACs, and by subsequent issues with similar provisions from other … the future. It asks whether we can expect to see additional issuance by emerging markets of bonds featuring CACs, whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599331
for the 1990s, when sovereign bond markets emerged. In contrast to the 1980s, the 1990s are characterized by significant … define debt crises as events occurring when either a country defaults or its bond spreads are above a critical threshold. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263954
We estimate sovereign bond spreads of 28 emerging economies over the period January 1998-December 2011 and test the … ability of the model in generating accurate in-sample predictions for emerging economies bond spreads. The impact and … significance of country-specific and global explanatory variables on bond spreads varies across regions, as well as economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242238
This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823
Using data on syndicated loan issuances by emerging market firms, we find that an increase in the external debt of emerging market governments significantly raises the borrowing costs of the domestic corporate sector. This finding suggests that a higher level of public external debt "crowds out"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497605
bond. This reflects the combined effect of the 1980s debt crisis and much higher returns during 1989-2000. Annual returns … high-yield bonds. However, unlike returns on these bonds, emerging market debt returns do not seem significantly correlated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264003
In contrast to the early-warning system literature, we find that currency and debt crises are not closely linked in emerging markets. We find that after 1994, credit ratings predict debt crises but fail to anticipate currency crises. When debt crises are defined as sovereign distress-when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605052
A structural vector autoregression model is developed to analyze the dynamics of bond spreads among a sample of mature … contribution on bond spreads from global market conditions (including funding liquidity, market liquidity, as well as credit and … changes in bond spreads over the sample, global market risk factors are fundamental driving forces during periods of stress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769174
This paper sets forth some basic principles that could help debt managers in emerging market and other countries to plan and implement sovereign debt buyback and swap operations. It discusses the macroeconomic context in which buybacks and swaps are undertaken, the objectives of buybacks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826410
We show that cross-country differences in the underlying volatility and persistence of macroeconomic shocks help explain two historical regularities in sovereign borrowing: the existence of "vicious" circles of borrowing-and-default ("default traps"), as well as the fact that recalcitrant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604946