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unemployment, with its detrimental effect on human capital. In addition, paying off past debt will be painful to both the public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827669
Some economic observers argue “structural unemployment” has increased in the wake of the Great Recession, but in this … paper we find little support for either of two arguments that suggest that structural unemployment has been on the rise. The … first argument focuses on the large increase in unemployment among construction workers. The second argument is that falling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008867484
We explore the relationship between inequality, unemployment, and inflation by considering the evidence that low … income distribution. The inflation-unemployment-inequality nexus leads to the inequality-augmented Phillips curve relating … higher levels of unemployment to lower inflation rates and more inequality. We then perform two sets of experiments to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327420
In this paper I examine whether one can use analyst forecasts of macroeconomic variables to improve investors ex-ante allocation of wealth between stocks and bonds. Such forecasts provide a forward-looking approach which I find improves investor's information set for the myopic stock-bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975364
’s current situation, rising debt, lowering GDP, increase in the bank’s bad loan, unemployment, and many more things contradict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241733
Using the Johansen cointegration technique, we find empirical evidence of long run co-movements between five national stock market indexes and measures of aggregate real activity including the real oil price, real consumption, real money, and real output. Real returns on these indexes are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105892
We propose a framework for understanding recurrent historical episodes of vigorous economic expansion accompanied by extreme asset valuations, as exhibited by the U.S. in the 1990s. We interpret this phenomenon as a high-valuation equilibrium with a low effective cost of capital based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014100918
The study investigates the dynamic effect of macroeconomic variables on BSE returns. In recent phenomena, stock market is a leading indicator of an economy growth and economic fundamentals are determinants of the stock market movements. The study results found that selected macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245493
The present study analyses the volatility spillover of exchange rate on South African Stock Market.The Capital market of South Africa has yardstick of African markets. The economic factors arecrucially impacting the returns of stock of South Africa. The study collected data fromJohannesburg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238336
We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is ‘involuntary’). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no … capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605248