The paper analyzes foreign investment and asset prices in a context of uncertainty over future government policy. The model endogenizes the process of learning by foreign investors facing a potentially opportunistic government, which chooses strategically the timing of a policy reversal in order...

In a typical IPO game with first-price auctions, we argue that risk-averse investors always underbid in equilibrium because of subjective interpretations of the firm' communication about its actual value and resulting risk aversion about the likelihood of facing investors with higher valuations....

A trivariate vector autoregression time series process, based on a present-value land price model, is used to decompose Iowa farmland prices into fundamental and non-fundamental components. A recent study, by Falk and Lee (1998), found that non-fundamental shocks are an important source of...

This paper presents an equilibrium asset pricing model with incomplete information on returns and agents' utility. Only some moments of the returns distributions are observable, and investors associate a return's riskness to the time required for its mean to converge around its expectation,...

This paper analyses the informational content of financial prices in Spain, mainly from the viewpoint of a central bank. In partiocular, we examine the informational content of domestic yields and yield spreads, foreign-domestic spreads, credit quality spreads, stock prices and excahnge rates on...

In this paper we derive a method for simultaneously estimating three possible determinants of output price : the marginal market cost of production, the user cost of the resource, and the exercise of market power.

Employing the neutral Kindleberger definition of a bubble as "an upward price movement over an extended range that then implodes", this paper explores the causes of the "Japanese Bubble" of 1985 to 1990 without precluding the possibility that the bubble was due to perceptions of fundamentals....

This paper examines the impact of a random number of stock prices changes on the valuation formula for options. The model introduces the structure of the general marked point process (MPP). The kind of models allows to take in account more general distributions of time interarrival: they need no...

This paper examines what factors move US and European stock and bond markets, extending earlier work by Campbell and Ammer (1993). Inflation news is incorporated into the stock and bond decomposition and explicit attention is given to different horizons over which expectations are formed....